Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1276.677859 1458.670772 1663.586054 1912.602967 2208.633890 2551.281484 2980.766838
2025-06-29 977.070987 1204.032283 1484.710058 1862.002735 2363.084718 3016.082796 3948.881275
2025-07-06 810.376266 1045.151257 1352.626247 1793.052310 2421.640740 3308.755963 4697.321997
2025-07-13 738.330814 990.315790 1337.214676 1862.989824 2664.194464 3882.311122 5964.737612
2025-07-20 670.434700 928.325856 1298.166942 1885.767918 2832.554910 4368.531588 7210.678469
2025-07-27 619.014691 881.495825 1271.832265 1918.937335 3016.417663 4908.637282 8687.613193
2025-08-03 574.196075 838.088942 1243.350063 1941.372499 3181.940811 5445.713476 10308.943783
2025-08-10 545.139870 814.853969 1242.208226 2006.528352 3430.067292 6182.459333 12564.645573
2025-08-17 514.324155 785.062437 1226.074901 2041.894116 3627.490151 6862.079074 14927.217384
2025-08-24 483.932932 752.606526 1201.258800 2057.022100 3786.739798 7496.918568 17415.048613
2025-08-31 456.482015 722.243165 1176.356220 2067.719268 3937.578702 8146.991513 20199.758678
2025-09-07 436.889510 703.314915 1169.268644 2111.030651 4163.957367 9026.313796 24017.389577
2025-09-14 401.398161 654.632307 1105.347058 2036.817755 4128.205996 9282.136396 26139.439337
2025-09-21 371.031000 612.794847 1050.513382 1975.136535 4112.928222 9595.621551 28649.267602
2025-09-28 342.517528 571.977662 993.695701 1901.904922 4057.362430 9788.049558 30847.032905
2025-10-05 334.042306 567.124658 1005.276547 1976.969467 4377.480592 11127.964299 38247.269244
2025-10-12 320.612093 551.833858 994.733227 2001.475675 4574.929594 12171.864275 45213.625937
2025-10-19 309.391877 539.796016 989.453354 2037.148095 4809.625061 13414.244567 54123.738950
2025-10-26 297.901200 526.300679 979.836144 2061.283323 5018.288262 14647.780870 64155.548459
2025-11-02 291.332797 521.927678 988.782343 2131.401276 5374.543810 16542.156336 79964.109908
2025-11-09 282.375106 512.059639 985.013909 2169.476051 5645.214352 18235.609151 96725.144533
2025-11-16 272.265156 499.096830 973.305891 2185.766143 5853.199410 19775.445165 114640.460734
2025-11-23 262.482179 486.111432 960.394704 2197.286239 6049.710625 21361.441651 135492.845984